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Global Economic Review: February 2017

Mar 21, 2017
The Federal Reserve went into reverse on interest rate direction with multiple governors indicating that at the March meeting there will be an increase based on low unemployment rates (headline number at a low 4.8%) and steady to higher GDP growth (currently +1.8% annualized per the Atlanta Fed, on par with Q4 2016 GDP of +1.9% annualized).
saudi arabia output cut

February 2017 Commodity Snapshot

Mar 15, 2017
Month two of the grand OPEC (and friends) experiment of how long compliance can stay in place while Saudi Arabia attempts to get the oil market higher before its IPO late this year.
chinese bank loans

Global Economic Review: January 2017

Feb 22, 2017
The Federal Reserve kept rates steady at its end-of-January meeting and gave no indication that one was offing in March. Yellen will run out of time soon if she wants to make it three increases this year, though we still hold onto our forecast of two.
2016 Top FCMs

2016 Top FCMs

Feb 14, 2017
List of the top futures commission merchants of 2016 based on customer funds.
us drought monitor

January 2017 Commodity Snapshot

Feb 09, 2017
The American and Canadian producers are still expanding, with the US oil-drilling rig count charging higher from 525 on December 30th to 566 on January 27th. Production is reacting as well, with January’s average production at 8.9 mbpd versus the low in 2016 at 8.5 mbpd.
non performing loans

Global Economic Review: December 2016

Jan 19, 2017
The Federal Reserve raised rates at its December meeting and projected three increases for 2017. Q3 GDP growth was good at +3.5% and Q4 GDP looks promising at +2.9% per the Atlanta branch of the Fed.
us oil exports

December 2016 Commodity Snapshot

Jan 11, 2017
In addition to the 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) OPEC cut announced in November 2016, non-OPEC countries led by Russia in December pledged to cut an additional 568,000 bpd.
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Option Selling Commodity Trading Advisors: The Good, The Bad & The Ugly...

Jan 04, 2017
A synopsis on option selling commodity trading advisors and how they should be incorporated into a managed futures portfolio.
CTA Performance 2

Managed Futures Performance is NOT like Rental Income

Dec 29, 2016
Sometimes individuals invest in managed futures and expect consistent, steady returns from month-to-month and year-to-year; similar to rental property income. The reality is quite the contrary. Managed futures and CTAs are speculative investments (similar to Equities), and should not be relied on for "income."
opec production cut

November 2016 Global Macro Recap

Dec 14, 2016
Regardless of one’s political alignment, deficit spending looks to be on the horizon (though Trump still has to get a debt ceiling increase through Congress by March 2017 as the limit was suspended until then by the 2015 budget negotiations). With the Federal Reserve all-but-certain to raise rates at their December 13-14 meeting, are we stepping off into a new economic regime?
US total auto sales annualized

October 2016 Global Macro Recap

Nov 16, 2016
Finally the US Presidential election is over and we can move on to more important things like the economy and foreign relations – of course both of those are highly politicized too.
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3 Areas Every Investor Should Read Before Signing a Disclosure Document

Oct 27, 2016
While many investors are anxious to get started and end up skimming through disclosure documents, we stress that you take the time to thoroughly read everything and pay close attention to the three sections described above.
US initial jobless claims 2006-2015

September 2016 Global Macro Recap

Oct 10, 2016
Summer is over and the leaves are turning. The US’ Federal Reserve branch in Atlanta continued to lower US growth expectations from +3.5% annualized to only +2.2% annualized.
What is a Futures Contract?

What are Futures?

Oct 05, 2016
A recent discussion with a potential investor encouraged us to write this article and explain in its simplest form what futures contracts are and who utilizes them.

9 Managed Futures Terms Investors Should Know

Sep 28, 2016
The managed futures industry has many unique terms that are specific to the industry. This short piece will help investors understand and define those industry specific terms and better understand the investment.
CTA Venn Diagram

3 Ingredients That Make a Successful CTA

Sep 22, 2016
What I have found is that CTAs that are successful over the long-term have three main core competencies (or what I call "ingredients" in the title of this article). I'll briefly discuss each and explain why these three are most critical to a CTA's success
u.s. gasoline stocks

August 2016 Global Macro Recap

Sep 13, 2016
The world ambled through summer – no one wanted to rock the boat until the kids are back in school and adults go back to work. The US continued its good-news / bad-news cycle that seems to make for low volatility markets but with an underlying sense of unease.
master-subaccount structure

What is Cross Margining in Managed Futures?

Aug 24, 2016
Most of our clients' CTA investment portfolios are setup via a separately managed account structure where they setup one master/cash account that feeds into each of their CTA sub-accounts. The benefit of setting up a master and sub-account structure allows an investor to "cross margin" their cash account with each of their CTA sub-accounts.
SMAs vs. Funds

Separately Managed Accounts (SMAs) vs. Fund Investments

Aug 12, 2016
A discussion between a separately managed account (SMA) and a fund structure. Many investors may still not completely understand the differences between the two. Given much of the confusion and misunderstanding, we felt that it would be helpful to put together a small piece that outlines the advantages and disadvantages of each.
working-age population

July 2016 Global Macro Recap

Aug 09, 2016
UK’s Brexit quickly faded into memory as the Tories rallied around a new Prime Minister, Ms. Teresa May, who quickly put her government into place. With two years before any renewed panic over what Brexit means and plenty of negotiation to happen in between, the markets moved on.

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Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Trading commodity futures, options, and foreign exchange ("forex") involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. In no way is the advisor of the month a direct recommendation of aiSource or any of its affiliates. Please carefully review the disclosure documents and any other promotional material prior to investing with any program. Managed accounts and/or managed futures are very risky and may not be suitable for all investors. Please consult with a Managed Futures specialists prior to investing.